Getting the edge in investing, wagering, and life.
I hate blackjack. First, because I lack the patience to count cards to get a real edge and if I did they’d try to ban me anyway. Second, because there are so many superstitious players who get all worked up if you do anything non-standard, it’s just not a relaxing game unless you play exactly […]
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This article Vegas oddsmakers do their tournament homework should be required reading for all March Madness bettors. The linesmakers are smarter than you think. Great article.
The previous article talks a lot about the value of power ratings. My favorite power ratings are Sagarin’s and Pomeroy’s.
USAToday has a decent blog with […]
CORRECTION: USC did not cover the spread in their last 3 games. They got routed in their conference championship against Oregon…..which may actually bode well for them from a contrarian standpoint. So, DO NOT TAKE Arkansas as a contrarian. Fortunately that’s a Friday late game and so I had not locked it in yet.
UPDATE: I […]
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